Haidar Abadi has fallen with the burned walls of the Iranian consulate in Basra

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By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai

The US favourite candidate for the prime ministership Haidar Abadi lost his last chance to renew his mandate for a second term when riots caused arson around the southern city of Basra and burned down the walls of the Iranian consulate in the city. While the inhabitants demonstrated for their justified demands (fresh water, electricity, job opportunities and infrastructure), sponsored groups with different agendas mixed with the crowds and managed to burn down offices, ambulances, a government building and school associated with al-Hashd al-Shaabi and other anti-US political groups. This mob behaviour forced Sayyed Moqtada al-Sadr, leader of 54 MPs, to drop his political partner Abadi and to put an end to his political carrier. Moqtada sought to distance himself from the events in Basra in order to let the blame fall on Abadi alone. He has joined the side of the winning horse, that of Iran.

Iraqi political parties had been divided into two camps: one supported by the US and led by Abadi and Moqtada, and another, led by Nuri al Maliki and Hadi al Ameri, defying the US and aligned with pro-Iran groups. The latter coalition had Faleh al-Fayyadi as their candidate and shared the goal of creating one big Shia coalition along with the Sunni.

In the Basra events of last week 16 were killed and 195 wounded. The prime minister ad interim Haidar Abadi tried to control the riots by imposing a curfew and then lifting it three times. When the situation got out of hand, Moqtada al Sadr took his distance, pushing his MPs to request the resignation of his political partner Haidar Abadi. Sources within Moqtada’s inner circle told me that Moqtada never promoted Abadi as the future prime minister even if he was supporting Abadi’s group.

One decision maker within Hashd al-Shaabi in Basra said that “the presence of pro-US or pro-Saudi Arabia elements among the demonstrators has contributed to the burning of ambulances, to attacking hospitals belonging to Hashd al-Shaabi, to torching the offices of all anti-Abadi and anti-Moqtada political groups, and to a direct attack against the Iranian diplomatic consulate. It is well known that the south of Iraq, mainly Basra, Amara, Kut,  Nassiriyeh and other areas, was the source of men who joined al-Hashd and fought and defeated ISIS. This issue did not help Abadi and Moqtada since the majority support Hashd. Therefore, the act of attacking Hashd and the Iranian consulate backfired against them and forced Moqtada to abandon his political partner Abadi”.

“Moqtada was never pro-US and never will be. He kept quiet about the US supporting Abadi since the US was also supporting him, as part of the US plan to control the government. Moqtada never supported Abadi as prime minister. Moreover, although Moqtada is against Iranian interference in Iraqi politics, he does not want to see Iraq used as a base for the US to hit Iran”, said the source.

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Moqtada al-Sadr learned that Hashd al-Shaabi had decided to stop any more riots in Basra, and that the group was ready to stop his militias if they refused to stand down and leave the streets. He wanted to avoid any direct clash with the experienced fighters of Hashd, and to avoid inter-Shia warfare. Moreover, he had learned of the Federal Court imminent decision to select Maliki-Ameri as the winning coalition, holding the most significant number of MPs. This combination of events led Moqtada to drop Abadi and take his 54 MPs to join the largest coalition. Overt sponsorship by the US and the Basra events have brought Abadi’s political carrier in Iraq to an end.

Iran is pushing the Shia groups, including Sayyed Ammar al-Hakim and the al-Da’wa party to join in one single coalition, along with the Sunni. The Usama al-Nujeifi group saw the desertion of many of its MPs to the Maliki-Ameri coalition. The largest coalition is now expected to include many more than 165 MPs, and thus become eligible to choose the Speaker and his two deputies, the president and the new prime minister.

The emergent large coalition will no longer need the support of the Kurds (42 MPs), who may also see some defections towards the Maliki-Ameri coalition. Masood Barzani will not be able to impose his 27 demands. The Kurds will no longer be the kingmaker.

The rider Abadi fell off the US horse and Iran won influence in Iraq when its consulate was torched in Basra. Important questions remain: Is Iraq capable of avoiding a US embargo if it doesn’t abide by US sanctions on Iran? Will the US accept failure in its efforts to dominate Iraq? Will the US support Mesopotamia in its war against ISIS, or will it allow those who created ISIS to once again undermine the stability of the country?

Proofread by: C.B.

Related, Read also:

  1. A wake-up call to the US in Baghdad: will Haidar Abadi become the Mohammad Morsi of Iraq?
  2. The USA oblivious to the rise of a resistance movement in response to its interference in Iraqi elections … …
  3. The US horse fell at the first jump in Iraq
  4. Faleh al-Fayyad is the official anti-US PM candidate in Iraq, while the US is trying to hit Iran below the belt
  5. Which war for Mesopotamia? Iraq must choose between Iran and the US
  6. Haidar Abadi chose the US camp, knowing he cannot win a second term. He has shot himself in the foot!
  7. Abadi is no longer the agreed favourite candidate

 

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5 thoughts on “Haidar Abadi has fallen with the burned walls of the Iranian consulate in Basra

  1. What happens if Iraq chooses an alliance with irin?
    Can the USA afford imposing sanctions on Iraq knowing full well that it will leading it into directly unto the axis of resistance?

  2. “…Important questions remain: Is Iraq capable of avoiding a US embargo if it doesn’t abide by US sanctions on Iran? Will the US accept failure in its efforts to dominate Iraq? Will the US support Mesopotamia in its war against ISIS, or will it allow those who created ISIS to once again undermine the stability of the country?”

    All pertinent and burning questions. Re: Iraq avoiding a US embargo, if it doesn’t comply with US sanctions on Iran. It might be possible to avoid an embargo, any new Iraqi government will have some leeway to negotiate that possibility, given the US interests in Iraq, and their plans to remain there attacking Iran’s interest from a relatively vulnerable flank. Any new Iraqi government will have to manage the US presence in Iraq, however long, and their using Iraq as a launchpad for overt and black operations against Iran.

    The second question, will the US accept failure in its efforts to dominate Iraq, the simple answer is a rotund, capital letters NO. US foreign policy has no sense of wrongness, and their goals in the Middle East are to destroy or retard the development potential of those countries that have adopted an independent path from US domination. The new anti-Iran gang made up of war criminals, US, Israel, Saudi Arabia, GCC minus Qatar, etc., are invested in long term operations in the ME, Iraq a central part of their geo-political strategy to control and dominate the region. That cabal will never give up their intentions to dominate Iraq, until Iraqis develop the political will to kick them all out, for good.

    The third question is tricky, since how the creators of ISIS can REALLY support Iraq against their creation? The US showed some belated willingness to “support” Iraq only after Ayatollah Sistani’s fatwa to fight the taqfiris, the creation of the PMFs supported by Iran, and the determination of the Iraqi people to eradicate the US-created beasts. All along, the US paid lip service to fighting Daesh, while “by mistake” bombing in one too many occasions, the positions of the PMFs.

    US puppet Abadi was bound to fall, and fail, sooner or later. He certainly tried to play a chess game against Suleimani, a champion of strategy, and his only pawn was traitorous Moqtada al-Sadr, who once saw the Abadi ship was sinking, jumped ship like the coward rat he is. He was in collusion with the SArabs, CIA, Mosad agents who burned all the opposition offices in Basra, including the Iranian consulate, but the offices of Moqtada’s party. He was certainly warned in no uncertain terms they were coming after his rag-tag militias, and probably after him, if they didn’t stop looting and burning Basra. Moqtada surrendered to Suleimani and Iran without a shot, throwing Abadi under the bus. Traitors like Abadi and Moqtada al-Sadr, who play with their people’s future for personal gain, are condemned to end their lives in the trash bin of history.

    Lone Wolf

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