By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The attacks taking place in the Gulf and its waters against harbours, energy supply pipelines and oil tankers have assumed the proportions of a small scale war; however a wider war will happen only if Iran or the USA make future mistakes or incite new frictions. A suspicious move or misinterpretation of events […]Read More The Gulf is facing a small-scale War Scenario: no obvious solution
Par Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Traduction : Daniel G. Le premier ministre japonais Abe Shinzo a transmis un message du président américain Donald Trump à l’intention des dirigeants iraniens, qui les invite à s’asseoir à une table de négociation en ajoutant « qu’il (Trump) serait prêt à suspendre toutes les sanctions seulement pendant les négociations ». Aucune garantie n’a été […]Read More Trump propose de suspendre les sanctions des USA pendant les négociations avec l’Iran, une offre rejetée par Khamenei : d’autres attaques sont à prévoir
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In a private meeting with the Iranian leadership, the Leader of the Revolution, Sayyed Ali Khamenei, recommended a four-step plan to confront US sanctions and US threats to Iran. The first step suggested by Sayyed Ali Khamenei is for Iran to develop its resources and reduce imports to a minimum […]Read More Iran’s Leader of the Revolution recommends four steps for confronting the US
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai This month of June, the National Security Advisors of Russia, the US, and Israel, Nikolay Patrushev, John Bolton and Meir Ben-Shabbat, respectively, are expected to meet in Jerusalem to talk about Iran and Syria and what Israel considers the “threat to its security” in the Levant. Well-informed sources believe the meeting […]Read More A Russian-American-Israeli meeting in Jerusalem: Syria and Iran on the table
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai When the “Islamic State” (ISIS) occupied large territories in Iraq and Syria, it shifted Middle East and world attention to it, moving the focus away from the Palestinian cause. The countries affected by the ISIS horror concentrated on recovering their occupied territories in the Levant and Mesopotamia, eliminating the infrastructure […]Read More Trump’s bellicosity sells weapons but also boosts Iran and the Palestinian cause
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Notwithstanding the failure of US foreign policies in the Middle East over the last four decades, the US administration seems to have managed not to earn the animosity of the Iraqi government. The US administration demonstrated its failure to produce an efficient and clear policy in the Middle East by […]Read More US and Iraq: walking successfully between landmines.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “We are going to intercept and stop all oil exports from the (Middle East) region if we are prevented from exporting our oil. We shall take every measure possible to close the Straits of Hormuz. If the US aims – by sending jets, carriers – to reinforce its positions and […]Read More How Yesterday resembles Today: Iran confronted the US in the Straits of Hormuz in the 1980s
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai US President Donald Trump no longer has any cards to wave in the face of Iran nor any grounds for negotiation. He can only resort to more economic sanctions and wait by the phone for a call from Iran, unlikely in view of Iran’s clear decision to reject any negotiations […]Read More The US is aware the confrontation with Iran is over a large geographical area: next rendezvous in less than 60 days
By Elijah J. Magnier: Israel prime minister Benyamin Netanyahu claimed he personally convinced the US president Donald Trump to abandon the Iran nuclear deal, known as the JCPOA agreement, and wished Iran to “disappear with the help of God”. Israel is much more experienced in dealing with the Middle East than the current US president and […]Read More Netanyahu took Trump to new heights of global tension and dropped him
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai When US president Donald Trump says he doesn’t want war with Iran, he expresses a position similar to that of Iranian Leader of the Revolution Sayyed Ali Khamenei, who has announced that Iran doesn’t “want to go to war nor to talk” with the US. That brings the bras-de fer between the […]Read More After a fruitless first round against Iran, the US has nothing to negotiate
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai A new school of confrontation is imposing itself in the Middle East, a region that is becoming a platform for regional and international wars. Following the 2001 invasion of Afghanistan, the 2003 occupation of Iraq, the 2006 war in Lebanon and the 2011 (failed) regime change in Syria, now Iran […]Read More No attacks against US forces in the Middle East but against US allies
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai War between the US and Iran is not likely in the next two months, regardless of media campaigns, US unilateral sanctions, and the build-up of US military forces in the Middle East. The US sanctions against Iran date back to 1979 and were actually intensified during the Obama era on […]Read More No War between Iran and the US any time soon: Trump doesn’t know how to negotiate with Iran
By Elijah J. Magnier: Iran has deployed its ballistic and cruise missiles, some in positions visible to US satellites and drones. They are ready for any confrontation with the US military apparatus, in case the US administration decides on war. Iran is responding to President Donald Trump’s belligerent declaration that he is gathering more naval […]Read More Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps on full alert sending a clear warning to Gulf countries
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai On the 11thof January 2007, US forces raided the Iranian Liaison Office in Erbil, capturing several “Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps” (IRGC) officers. Nine days later, a commando led by a Hezbollah officer and Iraqi resistance members of the Moqtada al-Sadr group (Asaeb Ahl al-Haq) carried out an audacious attack in […]Read More From Karbala to al-Fujairah: an act of sabotage may end prospects of a summer war in the Middle East
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The outcome of the Astana 12 meeting in Nour Sultan in Kazakhstan was generally described as positive by the leading countries concerned. However, little was achieved towards the return of the northern Syrian city of Idlib to the control of the central government in Damascus. The constitutional committee (the various […]Read More The recovery of Idlib under the Syrian government: still too early to achieve? 1/2
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai One year after the US unilateral withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal (known also as JCPOA- Joint Comprehensive Plan Of Action), the US is flexing its muscles by announcing an already previously scheduleddeparture of the Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group as a measure to frighten Iran and force it to the […]Read More The JCPOA One Year after US Withdrawal: The US and Iran flex their muscles
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Despite the lack of visible preparation for war, the Lebanese authorities consider it important to take all necessary precautions for a possible Israeli attack on Lebanon. Israel is not alone; this time its forces enjoy unlimited military support from the US administration through the US forces stationed in Israel and […]Read More Are the US and Israel preparing for war in the Middle East? (2/2 Lebanon)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Many analysts believe a US-Israeli war on Iran and Lebanon is likely despite the lack of evidence of preparations for such a war. Although forces could be quickly mobilised after a political decision to go to war, all indications point to a non-military war situation for the simple reason that […]Read More Are the US and Israel preparing for war in the Middle East? (1/2 Iran)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Despite the positive approach by Iran Foreign Minister Jawad Zarif proposing a humanitarian exchange of prisoners between Washington and Tehran (in an attempt to break the stalemate and ease the current tension), Iranian Speaker Ali Larijani and ‘Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps – Quds Brigade’ (IRGC) commander Qassem Soleimani both rejected any […]Read More Iran rejects all negotiations but signals domestic differences: its confidence remains intact in the face of severe sanctions.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In recent years, Israel has proved capable of reading between the lines to assess accurately the politico-military situation in the Middle East, exploiting timely opportunities to hit targets of its enemies in Syria and Iraq. Domestic, regional and unlimited US support for far-right Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu permitted his military […]Read More Clouds gather above the Middle East: war or no war 2/2?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah held a private meeting this week with his top military commanders in which he warned them to prepare for a hot Summer because Israel plans to launch a surprise war against Lebanon. Sayyed Nasrallah has asked his men to share the reality of the situation […]Read More Hezbollah Leader: “the possibility of a war with Israel is very high this summer and I may no longer be with you”.
By Dominique Muselet: Notre-Dame, “the whole history of Paris” as said the bobo Hidalgo*, all happy to be at the center of a catastrophe of which she does not think herself responsible (although she is), has resisted more than 800 years of attacks of all kinds, but neo-capitalism had it … with its cheap yards, […]Read More What does the fire of Notre-Dame means ?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Israel is not preparing a military adventure against Gaza, Syria, Hezbollah or Iran because it is in fact already attaining its objectives both internationally and domestically. Its military apparatus regularly hits targets in Syria with a calculated risk of retaliation from Damascus and its allies. Israel willingly risks a Syrian […]Read More The “Deal of the Century” (3/3): The Palestinian cause is behind Iran and Hezbollah’s success
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Israel is using its influence over the US establishment to try to impose the “Deal of the Century” to enable Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to officially occupy the West Bank. This would violate the Oslo agreement signed in 1993 and legalise all illegal Israeli settlements in Oslo-designated zone C of […]Read More The “Deal of the Century” (2): The US wants Iran to forget about Palestine and accept negotiations
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai For over a year now, the Israeli “Deal of the Century” for Palestine has been endorsed by the US establishment and is now echoing to the four corners of the world. The two novices in foreign policy, US President Donald Trump and his son-in-law Jared Kushner, manoeuvred by Israel from […]Read More The “Deal of the Century” won’t go through: Split among Palestinians supports Israel 1/3