By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iran has postponed announcement of those it has concluded were responsible for the sabotage at the Natanz nuclear centrifuge facility and probably other sites. However, high ranking personnel in Tehran say that “investigations have concluded and the latest explosions may well have been related; indications are that Israel, plus another Middle […]Read More Iran prepares retaliation for Israeli acts of sabotage
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Lebanese Hezbollah Secretary General Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah enjoys unparalleled support among Shia in Lebanon and more broadly among the “Axis of the Resistance” he is leading. He is the most famous leader in Lebanon and is highly respected and heeded by both followers and enemies, particularly Israel. However, since the […]Read More Hezbollah between two fires: its own society and its domestic allies
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai There is no doubt that, since Ben Gurion, the Zionist ideology adheres to the principle of superior strength, harassing and seizing opportunities to surprise the enemy, exploiting the opponent’s weaknesses and assessing the enemy’s position before striking. But there are many indications that Israel cannot conduct a war on Lebanon, at least […]Read More No Israeli war on Lebanon before the next US elections
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai It’s looking like a long, hot summer, as tensions increase between Washington and Tehran, US elections approach, and the “maximum pressure” exercised by the US escalates. After Syria, it is Lebanon’s turn. The country’s financial failure has reached the point of no return. The US is trying to attribute the […]Read More US-Iran confrontation in Lebanon: counter-measures and escalation
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US administration under Barack Obama drafted “Caesar’s Law” in 2016 to subdue Syria but kept it in the drawer. President Donald Trump and his administration dusted it off and are now implementing “Caesar’s Law”. In fact, Trump’s policy is manna to Iran: the US administration is playing straight into […]Read More The US “soft war” on Iran and its allies turns against Washington
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The enactment of “Caesar’s Law” – the new US sanctions designed to “pursue individuals, groups, companies, and countries that deal with the Damascus government” – is apparently directed against Syria but in reality aims to subdue Lebanon and its population to accommodate Israel’s conditions. Lebanon’s “Axis of the Resistance” member, […]Read More Syria Caesar’s Law and How it Will Affect Lebanon: Israel will be targeted 3/3
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The enactment of “Caesar’s Law” – the new US sanctions designed to “pursue individuals, groups, companies, and countries that deal with the Damascus government” – is apparently directed against Syria but in reality, aims to kill many birds with one stone. This “law” aims to damage Iran, Syria, Iraq and […]Read More Syria Caesar’s Law: After Syria, How Will it Affect Iraq? 2/3
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In mid-June, the US sanctions against Syria will escalate, with the enactment of “Caesar’s Law“, sanctions designed to “pursue individuals, groups, companies, and countries that deal with the Damascus government.” This law – purportedly named after a Syrian army officer who smuggled out thousands of photos of torture by […]Read More Syria Caesar’s Law: Who Does it Target, and How Will it Affect President Assad? 1/3
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In 2011, a significant Western-Arab coalition joined together and invested huge finance, media support and military resources in attempting to topple the Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. For this purpose, the alliance had established military operating rooms where US, British, Turkish and Arab intelligence services were established in northern Syria, Jordan […]Read More Syria: Russia challenges the US through the Levant Gate.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The world is in turmoil. 2020 has already brought major multiple crises, with the Iranian-American clash in Iraq which followed the US assassination of Major General Qassem Soleimani, and the COVID-19 health pandemic and economic disaster that struck all continents and stole the lives of over 400 thousand people around […]Read More Syria: Will the Great Middle Eastern War Begin in the Levant?
How Trump-Netanyahu Middle East policies help Iran By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Through its failed foreign policy, the US administration has unwittingly and unwillingly become the greatest supporter of the “Axis of the Resistance” led by Iran. Along with Israel, Washington is, in fact, globally encouraging countries to rebel against its dominance. Israel effectively contributed to […]Read More Palestine: surrendering or preparing for a third intifada?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iranian tankers were 2200 km from the US coast when the Iranian-flagged “Fortune”, followed by “Forest”, entered Venezuelan waters, challenging the US embargo and the US’s threats. The Islamic Republic was broadcasting loud and clear a strong message. The first message was dispatched to the US administration after Gulf and Arab […]Read More The Persian rug weaver strikes in the US’s backyard through Venezuela
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Every major Middle Eastern aggressive event has triggered the creation of a counterpower to stand against the aggressor. It comes, therefore, as no surprise that after the 1982 Israeli invasion of Lebanon, Hezbollah announced its birth and became a deterrent force stronger than many armies in the Middle East. When Israel and the […]Read More 20 years after the unconditional Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, what has been achieved? (3/3)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Following its defeat in the second war on Lebanon, Israel discovered that its only way to suppress Hezbollah would be to close the supply line between Lebanon and Syria. That could only be achieved by removing President Bashar al-Assad from power, disrupting the “Axis of the Resistance” that extends from Tehran to Baghdad, […]Read More Israel strikes Syria to keep the USA in the Levant. 20 years after the unconditional Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, what has been achieved? (2)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “We were Hezbollah trainers. It is an organisation that learns quickly. The Hezbollah we met at the beginning (1982) is different from the one we left behind in 2000”. This is what the former Chief of Staff and former Minister of Foreign Affairs, Gabi Ashkenazi, said twenty years after the Israeli unconditional withdrawal […]Read More 20 years after the unconditional Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon: what has been achieved? (1)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iran and the US have been at war since 1979, when the “Islamic Republic” took power. This war will continue as long as the US seeks to defeat Iran, which in turn seeks to force the US out of the Middle East. Occasionally, the war manifests as direct clashes between the […]Read More Iraq in the balance between Iran and the USA
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Every year, before renewing the United Nations Interim Forces in Lebanon (UNIFIL) mandate, voices are heard from Israel and the US administration asking to expand the term and duties of UNIFIL in order to serve Israel’s goals. The US administration stands shoulder to shoulder with Israel in trying to achieve by […]Read More UNIFIL serves Israel, so the Hezbollah deterrence will remain
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Recently, Israel claimed Iran was withdrawing its forces from Syria following the repetitive airstrikes Tel Aviv jets carried out from above Lebanon and additionally violating Iraqi air space. Furthermore, Israeli officials seem to believe that Iran can’t accept being challenged in Syria, yet is still far from seeking revenge anytime […]Read More Iran is in Syria to stay, and Damascus’s response towards Israel is only postponed.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Just at the time when the country is being led by a caretaker Prime Minister, Adel Abdel Mahdi, and the newly elected Prime Minister, Mustafa al-Kadhemi (boycotted by many powerful political groups) is struggling to form his cabinet, the terror group “ISIS” is increasing its attacks on a number of […]Read More Iraq serious challenges: the US, Iran, ISIS Plus a “difficult to form” cabinet.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The current government in Lebanon is challenging its politicians with the accusation of having supported the corrupt political and financial system for at least three decades. These politicians accuse Hezbollah, claiming that it is responsible for this corruption. And indeed, Hezbollah is repeatedly accused of supporting street campaigns to eliminate […]Read More Hezbollah is now the “Great Satan”
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai No country could fail to be shaken by the kind of profound struggle between all its political groups that currently prevails in Iraq. The US does not need to make any great effort to sow discord between the parties because they are currently intrinsically fragmented. The removal of Major General […]Read More Iraq facing a great US threat: China, al-Hashd and Iran out, or else! … (2/2)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iraq never before witnessed fragmentation of this magnitude, embodied by an unprecedented division between the various political blocs in a parliamentary system dependent on the consensus of the ruling parliamentary blocs. The US administration, aware of the lack of Iraqi unity, is playing an important role in pouring oil on […]Read More Iraq facing a great US threat: China, al-Hashd and Iran out, or else … (1/2)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Israeli leadership has not tired of trying to change the Rules of Engagement (ROE) with Hezbollah since its defeat in the 2006 war, in the hope of eliminating the organisation that rose to state level in military capabilities (and medical skills, as it showed its preparations to confront the […]Read More Israel and Hezbollah: Confirmation of Deterrence Policy
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US government offers financial rewards to those who help arrest a Hezbollah leader or who reveal details of their activities that enable the US to disrupt them. These rewards vary from five to ten million dollars. Thus far, no one has been able to obtain a single dollar of […]Read More US rewards for Hezbollah leaders’ heads: How do they affect the organisation?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai President Donald Trump carried out the assassination of the Iranian IRGC-Quds Brigade Major General Qassem Soleimani on encouragement from Israel Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu. Israel had never dared to assassinate Soleimani even though the Iranian officer was under the radar in all his movements back and forth from Iran to Beirut, Damascus, […]Read More 100 days after the assassination of Soleimani: Did the US achieve its goals? 2/2