Turkey, Israel and Iran gain and losses? Would Biden go to war or abandon the ME? (3/3)

By Elijah J. Magnier: In the last decade, the US, Israel and their allies explored every single avenue in an attempt to subject Iran to their will, weaken or even defeat the “Islamic Republic” and, for many years, aimed to change the political regime. The war on Syria (one of Iran’s strategic allies), the partition of […]

Read More Turkey, Israel and Iran gain and losses? Would Biden go to war or abandon the ME? (3/3)

Turkey, Israel and Iran gain and losses? Would Biden go to war or abandon the ME? (2/3)

By Elijah J. Magnier: Israel benefitted greatly from the rule of US President Donald Trump during his entire four years in office. Trump has “donated” what doesn’t belong to him, violated the United Nations resolutions when he gave the Syrian occupied Golan Heights to Israel, and promoted Jerusalem to be the capital of Israel. To […]

Read More Turkey, Israel and Iran gain and losses? Would Biden go to war or abandon the ME? (2/3)

Turkey, Israel and Iran gains and losses? Would Biden go to war or abandon the ME? (1/3)

By Elijah J. Magnier: Turkey has risen as an emergent force in the Middle East thanks to the wars in Syria, Iraq and Libya, challenging the US’s unilateral dominance of this part of the world. On the other hand, Yemen, Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine and Afghanistan collectively imposed Iran as a regional power impossible to ignore. Iran has […]

Read More Turkey, Israel and Iran gains and losses? Would Biden go to war or abandon the ME? (1/3)

Iran challenging Trump and giving Biden no choice: an imminent deal or no deal

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In the remaining two weeks with President Donald Trump in power, Iran is sending strong messages to the United States of America, and in particular to both the current President and to the President-elect Joe Biden, by launching a two-day exercise involving domestically produced drones in central Semman province, and by increasing its enriched Uranium […]

Read More Iran challenging Trump and giving Biden no choice: an imminent deal or no deal

Israel has sought to instigate an unwanted war between the US and Iran

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US military is on a state of high alert and has recently sent to the Middle East two B-52s, the submarine USS Georgia and ordered USS Nimitz to stay in the Gulf due to Iran’s threats. US President Donald Trump has vowed to strike Iran “if one American soldier is US […]

Read More Israel has sought to instigate an unwanted war between the US and Iran

Iran one year on: what did the assassination of Qassem Soleimani achieve?

By Elijah J. Magnier: A year ago, US President Donald Trump assassinated the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) Commander of the Quds brigade, Brigadier General Qassem Soleimani, the coordinator between Iran and all its allies in Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen and Afghanistan. The apparent motivation behind this act was consistent with US policy since […]

Read More Iran one year on: what did the assassination of Qassem Soleimani achieve?

Will Trump start a war on Iran before he leaves the White House?

By Elijah J. Magnier: “Iran’s missile programme is non-negotiable and US President-elect Joe Biden is well aware of that”. These are the words of Iranian President Hasan Rouhani. He is insisting on the return of the US to the nuclear deal, known as the JCPOA, signed by President Barack Obama in 2015 and illegally shredded by President Donald […]

Read More Will Trump start a war on Iran before he leaves the White House?

Sayyed Sistani has no plans to divide Hashd al-Shaabi

By Elijah J. Magnier:  Many articles written earlier this year and even recently have claimed that Hashd al-Shaabi (Popular Mobilisation Forces – PMF) is about to face a split among its brigades. The PMF played an essential role in fighting the “Islamic State” (ISIS) organisation along with the Iraqi Army, the Federal Police and the Counter-Terrorism units. The split […]

Read More Sayyed Sistani has no plans to divide Hashd al-Shaabi

Venezuela, an operational stage for Russia and Iran to challenge the USA

Caracas, by Elijah J. Magnier: Venezuelan President Nicholas Maduro and his team ended President Donald Trump’s dream of overthrowing the ruling governing democratic system in Venezuela by scoring a KO punch—an overwhelming victory in the National Assembly elections with over 67% in favour of Maduro’s ruling party. “Washington’s boy”, Juan Guidó, henceforth belongs to the […]

Read More Venezuela, an operational stage for Russia and Iran to challenge the USA

Venezuela, a population difficult to defeat: Lessons for the Middle East

Caracas, Venezuela, by Elijah J. Magnier: At the “Escuela Técnica Comercial Manuel Palacio Fajardo De Caracas Venezuela” in an area called 23 Enero, the Venezuelan Foreign Minister Jorge Arreaza came to vote. The people of the neighbourhood stood in line waiting their turn after being disinfected by the sanitary officers. A few guards were in […]

Read More Venezuela, a population difficult to defeat: Lessons for the Middle East

How similar are the US sanctions on Venezuela and the Middle East?

Venezuela, Caracas – By Elijah J. Magnier: Venezuela is mobilised for this Sunday’s elections to elect 277 members of the Parliament from 14,400 candidates of 107 parties, groups and independents. The US administration and European community leaders have already rejected and condemned the results of the elections- that has not taken place yet. That is […]

Read More How similar are the US sanctions on Venezuela and the Middle East?

How will Iran answer the assassination of Fakhri Zadeh?

By Elijah J. Magnier: US President Donald Trump and Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu decided that Iran was their worst enemy and that its nuclear and missile programs should be disrupted or destroyed by all means. Perhaps Trump considers Iran to be one of the reasons for his failure to be re-elected- or is it […]

Read More How will Iran answer the assassination of Fakhri Zadeh?

Why does Iran believe Israel could be preparing a strike against its nuclear facility?

By Elijah J. Magnier: In an unprecedentedly high level of military readiness, the “Axis of the Resistance” led by Iran has declared a maximum alert on all fronts, as a preparation for a possible battle or war breaking out in the Middle East prior to the arrival in office of President-elect Joe Biden. Sources within […]

Read More Why does Iran believe Israel could be preparing a strike against its nuclear facility?

Why Iraq is expected to be hot for Joe Biden and vice-versa? (3)

Elijah J. Magnier:  Last July, Iraqi Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhemi travelled to Iran and met with Iranian officials where he confirmed that Iraq will not be a platform for the US or any other country to attack Iran. As usual, the Iranians were very polite and requested nothing explicitly from al-Kadhemi. Mutual friends of both governments, […]

Read More Why Iraq is expected to be hot for Joe Biden and vice-versa? (3)

Can Iran convince Biden to resolve the nuclear deal? (2)

By Elijah J. Magnier:  @ejmalrai Many Middle Eastern countries believe that present set of conflicts in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, Palestine and Lebanon could be solved were the US and Iran to sit around the negotiation table, even though Saudi Arabia and Israel would prefer war on Iran in order to cripple its military and economic […]

Read More Can Iran convince Biden to resolve the nuclear deal? (2)

Is the Middle East on Joe Biden’s priority list? (1)

By Elijah J. Magnier: US President Donald Trump has only a few weeks left before the US Federal Court announces the final results of the presidential elections and declares Joe Biden the 46th President of the United States of America. All eyes are on the President-elect who will take office on 20 January 2021, and […]

Read More Is the Middle East on Joe Biden’s priority list? (1)

Trump is not preparing a new war in the Middle East

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai There remains little doubt about the controversial politics and personality of President Donald Trump, who has continually surprised both the west and the Middle East with his unpredictable behaviour throughout his years in office. He is not a Democrat, and the Republicans embraced him in 2016. During his four years in office, he blackmailed his […]

Read More Trump is not preparing a new war in the Middle East

The US plan for weakening Hezbollah: a Civil War and the Exodus of the Christians

The US plan for weakening Hezbollah: a Civil War and the Exodus of the Christians Hezbollah and its differences with the Christians of Lebanon By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Christian political and religious leaders of Lebanon are theologically distant from Twelver Shia; they have political and ideological objectives that fundamentally differ from those of Hezbollah. […]

Read More The US plan for weakening Hezbollah: a Civil War and the Exodus of the Christians

Iran ready to negotiate if Biden respects the international deal: the missiles on the table if…

By Elijah J. Magnier: President Donald Trump waited in vain by the phone for Iranian officials to call him and announce the surrender of their country to the US “maximum pressure” campaign. Tehran stuck to a policy of not boosting Trump’s electoral campaign and staying far away from any dialogue with Trump that he could use for […]

Read More Iran ready to negotiate if Biden respects the international deal: the missiles on the table if…

Is the division of Lebanon a realistic possibility?

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai On the ninth of May 2008, the American ambassador (who was at the time a Chargé d’Affaires) Michele J. Sison sent a letter to her superiors and other US security offices relative to her meeting with the Lebanese Christian leader of the “Lebanese Forces” (FL) Samir Geagea, leader of the […]

Read More Is the division of Lebanon a realistic possibility?

Israel’s “Lethal Arrow” military exercise anticipates Hezbollah will cross its borders

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai After a week of military manoeuvres, Israel revealed that its main military objective was focused on the northern front to confront the possibility of Hezbollah “Radwan” special forces advancing into Israeli settlements adjacent to the border. During these manoeuvres, messages were exchanged between Israel and Hezbollah that only the two sides understand. What were […]

Read More Israel’s “Lethal Arrow” military exercise anticipates Hezbollah will cross its borders

Trump and Assad: the ongoing negotiation

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In 2012, the US administration closed the American Embassy’s doors in Damascus and, two years later, ordered the Syrian Embassy in Washington to close. However, an exchange of messages continued through the Czech embassy, and the backchannel never closed. President Donald Trump, known for his willingness to strike business deals, […]

Read More Trump and Assad: the ongoing negotiation

The US proposed a partial withdrawal and ease in sanctions, Damascus rejected the offer

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Damascus confirmed the visit of President Donald Trump’s Special envoy for Hostage Affairs Roger Carstens and Senior Director for Counterterrorism Kash Patel to Syria and their meeting with the Syrian Director of the National Security Ali Mamluk (sanctioned by the European Union and the US administration). It was the last […]

Read More The US proposed a partial withdrawal and ease in sanctions, Damascus rejected the offer

This is what happens when Sunnis and Shiites agree in Lebanon

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai French President Emmanuel Macron does not want his initiative for Lebanon to fail. His initial path was not successful because he did not possess the political acumen necessary to confront the tricks of the Lebanese politicians. Macron wrongly believed that the “weight” of France was sufficient for everyone to stand “inline” and […]

Read More This is what happens when Sunnis and Shiites agree in Lebanon

Difficult negotiations between Lebanon and Israel ahead

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Amid the domestic split between members of different political groups in Lebanese society, the country is preparing to start an indirect negotiation with Israel, pursuing a decades-old border dispute. After nine years of indirect discussion, both sides have agreed on a road map negotiated by the Lebanese Speaker Nabih Berri. The […]

Read More Difficult negotiations between Lebanon and Israel ahead