After the explosion, a preparation to return to normality and live with COVID-19

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai No country in the world is expecting to be spared and every country except perhaps China, South Korea, and some Asian countries, is waiting to reach the “explosion” level, the peak which represents the highest death rate of COVID-19, known as Coronavirus, after which the curve of new casualties will […]

Read More After the explosion, a preparation to return to normality and live with COVID-19
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Lebanon: Don’t mess with the “Axis of the Resistance”.

Trump with Amer al-Fakhoury, known as the “Butcher of Kiyam”, the pro-Israel concentration detention camp established in the south of Lebanon during the 1982 Israeli invasion. By Elijah J. Magnier:  @ejmalrai Antoine Hayek, the former jailer of the Israeli-established Kiyam detention and concentration camp in Lebanon, was found dead in his store in Miyu-Miyeh, east of Sidon […]

Read More Lebanon: Don’t mess with the “Axis of the Resistance”.

Iraqi politics in a storm, heading towards instability and chaos

By Elijah J. Magnier:  @ejmalrai Following Iraqi president Barham Saleh’s nomination of Adnan al-Zarfi (Zurufi or Zurfi) as the new Prime Minister, Iraq has entered a critical stage.  The Shia block is divided. The 30 days given to al-Zarfi to nominate his cabinet will lead either to a quorum of the parliament recognising his new cabinet […]

Read More Iraqi politics in a storm, heading towards instability and chaos

The battle of Idlib is far from over

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The opening of the Saraqeb-Latakia road, known as the M4, is scheduled for this Sunday the 15th of March as established during the memorandum protocol signed in Moscow between the two presidents Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan following the battle of Saraqeb. The Turkish-Russian patrols are supposed to secure the M4 following […]

Read More The battle of Idlib is far from over

A lesson from Idlib for Hezbollah: is Israel preparing an attack?

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai For the first time in its official existence in 1985, Lebanon’s Hezbollah has now clashed on the battlefield with the Turkish army, one of NATO’s strongest. The face-to-face clash between Hezbollah and the Turkish military took place in the rural area of Idlib where dozens of Turkish service members lost their […]

Read More A lesson from Idlib for Hezbollah: is Israel preparing an attack?

Putin helps Erdogan climb down from the tree with a ceasefire agreement.

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai President Vladimir Putin agreed to meet his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan, who came to Moscow seeking a ceasefire he could not announce unilaterally on the battlefield, where he has lost momentum. Thousands of Turkish soldiers were pushed onto the frontline against the Syrian army and its allies because the […]

Read More Putin helps Erdogan climb down from the tree with a ceasefire agreement.

Putin-Erdogan meeting: a storm is expected over the “mother of all battles” in Idlib; Ayn al Arab is at stake

The Turkish-Syrian battle is the battle of the Kurds in Ayn al-Arab, Kobane. By Elijah J. Magnier:  @ejmalrai Turkish President Recep Tayyib Erdogan had decided to attack Russia, Iran and Syria when he sent his army to Idlib and bombed Russian and Iranian allies on the Idlib front. The Turkish president is feeling strong and […]

Read More Putin-Erdogan meeting: a storm is expected over the “mother of all battles” in Idlib; Ayn al Arab is at stake

Mohammad Allawi has fallen and the prospects for a new PM in Iraq are not good

Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Elected Prime Minister Mohammad Allawi has fallen due to the lack of a parliamentary quorum. The selection of his new cabinet, his mismanagement in dealing with various political parties, and his condescending attitude particularly towards Sunnis and Kurds brought him the support of only 108 MPs in Parliament last Sunday. He […]

Read More Mohammad Allawi has fallen and the prospects for a new PM in Iraq are not good

Erdogan: Idlib is mine

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai A significant development took place in Syria on Friday.  A Russian attack on a Turkish convoy in Idlib in north-west Syria killed 36 Turkish soldiers and officers. In retaliation, Turkey launched an unprecedented armed drone attack that lasted several hours and resulted in the killing and wounding of over 150 Syrian […]

Read More Erdogan: Idlib is mine

Israel bombs Syria: how long can this go on?

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Russia believe the war on terror has priority over and above any Israeli provocations. Syria and Russia are of necessity avoiding a ‘battle between wars’, a term used by Israel to sneak in and hit-and-run an enemy target not sufficiently important to trigger an all-out […]

Read More Israel bombs Syria: how long can this go on?

The war scenario between Israel and Hezbollah

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Notwithstanding the increase in power of the “Axis of the Resistance”, with its precision missiles and unrivalled accumulated warfare experience, the possibility of war is still on the table. The “Axis of the Resistance” is increasing its readiness based on the possibility that Israel may not tolerate the presence of such […]

Read More The war scenario between Israel and Hezbollah

Is Iran ill-advised to finance its regional allies while under sanctions?

By Elijah J. Magnier:@ejmalrai Many Iranians question the benefits of arming and financing Iran’s many allies in the Middle East while Iran is suffering the harshest ever US “maximum pressure”. Iran’s allies are spread over Afghanistan, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Palestine. Is Iranian support for these allies the main cause of the US’s aggressive […]

Read More Is Iran ill-advised to finance its regional allies while under sanctions?

Is the “Axis of Resistance” in a better or worse position? The Martyr Qassem Soleimani achieves even more than the Major General did

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai More than forty days ago a US drone assassinated Major General Qassem Soleimani, leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – Quds Brigade and leader of the “Axis of the Resistance”. He was killed after midnight at Baghdad airport between the second and the third of January along with his […]

Read More Is the “Axis of Resistance” in a better or worse position? The Martyr Qassem Soleimani achieves even more than the Major General did

Syria imposes the Astana deal by force, as Turkish-Russian tensions rise

Aleppo, Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Since 2012 the M5 Damascus-Aleppo had been under the control of jihadist forces. The Syrian Army has now liberated the M5 Damascus-Aleppo road and over 140 cities, villages and strategic hills. Turkey and the Uzbeks, Uighurs and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (formerly al-Nusra) failed to protect their fortified positions, abandoning them […]

Read More Syria imposes the Astana deal by force, as Turkish-Russian tensions rise

How Iran decided to bomb US bases and how Trump avoided an all-out war

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai On the third of January, after midnight, news about the assassination of Iranian Major General Qassem Soleimani, Brigadier General Hussein pour Jaafari, Colonel Shahroud Muzaffari Nia, Major Hadi Tameri and Captain Wahid Zamaniam reached the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad. Officers at the embassy were in contact with the convoy, and […]

Read More How Iran decided to bomb US bases and how Trump avoided an all-out war

The USA was the kingmaker in Iraq, but now its withdrawal is inevitable

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iraq and the Iraqis have spoken: Iraqi Major General Jafar al-Battat, head of Baghdad area security, estimated at “more than one million” the number of protestors who filled up the Karradah and Jadriyeh in Baghdad. Protestors called for the total withdrawal of the US-led foreign forces from the country. They mobilised in response […]

Read More The USA was the kingmaker in Iraq, but now its withdrawal is inevitable

Iran is ready to attack again: Will the US forces withdraw from Iraq?

By Elijah J. Magnier:@ejmalrai Iraq is preparing for demonstrations by a million protestors, called for by Iraqi Shia leader Sayyed Moqtada al-Sadr, as a show of solidarity among Iraqis insisting on the immediate withdrawal of the US-led coalition and all foreign forces stationed in the country. Preparations are set for civilians, families, militants and armed […]

Read More Iran is ready to attack again: Will the US forces withdraw from Iraq?

Immediate US withdrawal due to its violation of the agreement and Iraq sovereignty

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Iraqi Parliament has decided to ask for the immediate withdrawal of all foreign forces from the country for violating the terms of their presence. The US has broken its contractual obligations to the government of Baghdad and affronted the sovereignty of Iraq, jeopardising its stability. Sources at the Prime […]

Read More Immediate US withdrawal due to its violation of the agreement and Iraq sovereignty

How are Iran and the “Axis of the Resistance” affected by the US assassination of Soleimani?

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US President Donald Trump assassinated the commander of the “Axis of the Resistance”, the (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) IRGC – Quds Brigade Major General  Qassem Soleimani at Baghdad airport with little consideration of the consequences of this targeted killing. It is not to be excluded that the US administration […]

Read More How are Iran and the “Axis of the Resistance” affected by the US assassination of Soleimani?

Iraq is the Next battleground.

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Well-informed and established sources at Iraqi Prime minister Adel Abdel Mahdi’s office in Baghdad believe “the US is unwilling to listen to reason, to the Iraqi government or the parliament. It has the intention of bringing war upon itself and transforming Iraq into a battlefield, by refusing to respect the […]

Read More Iraq is the Next battleground.

Iranian messages behind attacking US bases in Iraq, and the consequences

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Just after midnight local time today, Iranian ballistic missiles “Fateh 313” hit two military bases in Iraq that host a significant concentration of US forces, along with other allies. The Iranian direct hit was the retaliation for the US assassination of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps-Quds brigade Sardar Qassem Soleimani […]

Read More Iranian messages behind attacking US bases in Iraq, and the consequences

Fragmentation in the Axis of Resistance led to Soleimani’s death

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai It was not the US decision to fire missiles against the IRGC commander Brigadier General Qassem Soleimani that killed the Iranian officer and his companions in Baghdad. Yes, of course, the order that was given to launch missiles from the two drones (which destroyed the two cars carrying Sardar Soleimani […]

Read More Fragmentation in the Axis of Resistance led to Soleimani’s death

What comes next after the US Assassination of Qassem Soleimani? The Options.

  By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US did not plan to kill the vice commander of the Iraqi Hashd al-Shaabi brigade Abu Mahdi al-Muhandes when it assassinated Iranian Brigadier General Qassem Soleimani on Thursday at 11:00 PM local time at Baghdad airport. Usually, when Soleimani was arriving in Baghdad, security commander Abu Zeinab al-Lami, […]

Read More What comes next after the US Assassination of Qassem Soleimani? The Options.

How the US was hoist by its own petard in Iraq and the wishful thinking of its thinktanks.

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The United States of America has fallen into the trap of its own disinformation policy, as exemplified by the work of one of its leading strategic study centres, a neocon think tank promoting war on Iran.  During the first weeks of protests in Iraq, a dozen Iraqis burned down the Iranian […]

Read More How the US was hoist by its own petard in Iraq and the wishful thinking of its thinktanks.

China-Iran -Russia alliance ending US unilateral global hegemony

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The “maritime security belt” trilateral four-day drill between Iran, China and Russia in the sea of Oman and the Indian Ocean will mark the Middle East for decades to come. It signals the end of US absolute hegemony and control of the Middle East- and of the world. The joint drills are being carried […]

Read More China-Iran -Russia alliance ending US unilateral global hegemony