By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Turkish forces invaded north-east Syria (NES) only when it had coordinated with the US to define the red line of the invasion. Moreover, both superpowers, the US and Russia, protected Turkey by blocking an EU-drafted UN resolution to halt the Turkish advance. Turkey refused to allow the US to arm, train […]Read More Winners and Losers in the Turkish attack on Kurds in Syria? Part 2 of 3
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai President Donald Trump has given the orders to begin a “deliberate withdrawal” of his troops and end the occupation of north-east Syria (NES). This is accelerating the race between the Turkish and the Syrian forces to control NES. Turkey is in a rush to establish its 30-35km wide safe zone […]Read More Winners and Losers in the Turkish attack on Kurds in Syria (part 1of 3)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Last Friday a 155 mm artillery shell landed 300 metres from a US command post near the Syrian bordering city of Ayn al-Arab (known by the Syrian Kurds as “Kobane”) during an ongoing operation carried out by Turkey – a NATO and a US ally. This operation aimed to dislodge, […]Read More One Rocket provoked the US Withdrawal: details of the Kurdish-Russian-Syrian Deal
https://www.humanitarianresponse.info/sites/www.humanitarianresponse.info/files/documents/files/ocha_syria_flash_update_2_nes_and_humanitarian_impact_11_october_2019.pdf By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Although the Turkish attack against the Syrian Kurds in North-East Syria (NES)is limited to a specific bordering buffer zone not larger than 32 kilometres, it will achieve a multiple layers of objectives if the Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan respects the acknowledgement he has received from Russia and the […]Read More The Turkish attack on Rojava: Iran is no longer the US target in Syria
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Notwithstanding President Donald Trump’s announcement of the deal with his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan to tactically withdraw US forces from specific locations in occupied north-east Syria- and in consequence to leave the Syrian Kurds to their fate- the departure of US forces from Syria is highly implausible. These US forces […]Read More US forces will not likely withdraw from Syria this year
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai By Elijah J. Magnier: The last four days have shown that the ongoing US-Iran war is acutely affecting the whole region. This is now evident in Iraq where more than 105 people have been killed and thousands wounded in the course of demonstrations that engulfed the capital Baghdad and southern […]Read More The US-Iran silent war is transformed into an “Iraq uprising”
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Over the years, researchers have copied and parroted inaccurate declassified US intelligence reports on Hezbollah’s sources of income around the world. These documents claim Hezbollah lives off selling smuggled cigarettes and illegally copied CDs or on income generated by selling drugs in Latin America and around the world. The US […]Read More Can the US starve Hezbollah of funds?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “As President of the United States of America, I apologise for the suffering we have caused the world for decades, and particularly in the Middle East. I am sorry for causing so much pain to the Iranian population by inflicting harsh and aggressive sanctions with the aim of curbing their sovereignty […]Read More The US calls for peace and apologises for its past
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai There will be no deal between Iran and the US as long as President Donald Trump is unwilling to lift his aggressive sanctions against the “Islamic Republic”. Washington and Riyadh’s top leaders have asked Pakistan and Iraq to mediate with the Tehran leadership to ease tensions and stop the attacks that are jeopardising the turbulent peace in […]Read More The US wants Iran to become a “toothless shark”: its allies and missile programme to be swept off the table
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The alternately hot and cold tension between the US and Iran is evolving on the Middle Eastern stage where Tehran is hitting its enemies (on its own and with the help of its allies) without causing the death of a single US person so far. It is targeting strategic objectives in […]Read More What Iran and the US offer their allies: Tehran’s multiple messages
Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US and Israel are manoeuvring between the internal Iraqi differences in order to hit Hashd al-Shaabi, the “Popular Mobilisation Forces” (PMF). These forces have gathered significant domestic support and created many enemies among the Iraqis. The reason for this antipathy is the Iranian fingerprint within the PMF. Yet Iran is supposed […]Read More Why didn’t Iraq retaliate against Israel? Part 2
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iraq and Syria have decided to re-open the border-crossing between the two countries at albu Kamal – al Qaem, a vital move for the economic interests of both countries, with considerable benefits for the “Axis of the Resistance” (Iran, Iraq, Syria and Hezbollah in Lebanon). Twenty-four hours before the opening was […]Read More Why didn’t Iraq retaliate against Israel? Part 1/2
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The leader of the Iranian revolution Sayyed Ali Khamenei received on the 10thof Moharram, the Iraqi leader Sayyed Moqtada al-Sadr, brought to him by Brigadier General Qassem Soleimani, head of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps – Quds Brigade (IRGC-QB) and in presence of the IRGC commander Hossein Salame. The visit- and […]Read More Moqtada al-Sadr and Iran: a long love-hate relationship
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai French President Emmanuel Macron failed to promote successfully his Iranian initiative with the US administration despite the initial blessing of his US counterpart. This failure led Iran to make a third gradual withdrawal from its JCPOA nuclear deal commitment, raising two main issues. Iran has become a regional power to […]Read More Iran will be a full nuclear power by the end of 2020: no return to the 2015 agreement
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai A secret deal has been set up between the US and Iran, through a third party, to enable the Iranian super tanker Adrian Darya 1 (formerly Grace 1) to deliver its 2.1 million barrels of oil to the Syrian government. Smaller tankers worked for five days unloading the oil to […]Read More A secret US-Iran deal over oil supplies to Syria
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Hezbollah is preparing to down an Israeli drone in the coming days, after leaving time for Israeli politicians and media to increase their criticism and attacks on Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, accused of undermining Israel’s vital deterrence strategy in force since 1955. The Secretary General of Hezbollah, Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah, […]Read More Undermining Israeli deterrence, Hezbollah is preparing to shoot down a drone
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The people of the Middle East looked from different and contradictory angles at the “battle between wars” that took place between Israel and Hezbollah in the last week of the month of August. Many wanted to see more Israeli blood and more killing of soldiers; others criticised Hezbollah’s retaliation to […]Read More Hezbollah’s “response strategy” was imposed by Netanyahu’s bad luck.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Israeli army was well able to hide its soldiers along the Lebanese-Israeli border. Hezbollah defeated the Israeli army without firing a shot by forcing the army to disappear and leave puppets behind in its military vehicles. That is to prevent any opportunity for Hezbollah to avenge the killing of […]Read More Israel is hiding its soldiers and Hezbollah is winning without firing a shot- so far.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The “Axis of the Resistance” has been informed about Hezbollah’s intention to respond to Israel imminently, confirmed sources within the decision-making leadership. The main offices of militant leadership and all gathering of forces have been abandoned or forbidden, and a state of full alert has been declared in preparation for […]Read More Hezbollah will respond to Israel: but When? How? And at What Cost?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Last week, Israel Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu rebuffed all existing Rules of Engagement (ROE) in Iraq and Lebanon, showing his readiness for war and an apparent willingness to ignite it. For the first time since 2006 his drones violated the old rules of engagement; an Israeli drone exploded in a […]Read More Why Netanyahu dares to hit Iran’s backyard in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon: Israel accepts Hezbollah’s challenge.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai An explosion occurred Tuesday at an ammunition storage warehouse used by Iraqi security forces operating under the Popular Mobilisation Forces (PMF) close to the US air and military base in Balad, Salahuddin province, 64 km north of Baghdad. Over a week before, a warehouse at Camp-Sakr used by the Federal Police and […]Read More Who is Behind Blowing up Ammunition Warehouses in Iraq? Iran is the Target.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai During the first week of this month of August, the ex-ISIS commander and current head of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (formerly known as Jabhat al-Nusra) Abu Mohammad al-Golani held a press conference in the occupied northern city of Idlib. He declared himself unconcerned by the ceasefire established in the course of […]Read More Al-Golani’s defiance of Turkey leads to Syrian government control of Khan Sheikhoun
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The UK acknowledged its first defeat by Iran when it released the Iranian super tanker “Grace 1” captured by 30 Royal Navy commandos in the first week of July in response to a US request, as the Spanish Foreign Minister Josep Borrell revealed. In response, Iran will release the British-flagged tanker […]Read More Iran’s dangerous deterrence policy: trading tankers- and another partial withdrawal from the JCPOA
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai During the summer war of 2006, Israel managed to destroy a large number of Hezbollah’s rocket and missile stocks. Most Hezbollah missile units were destroyed and, in the suburb of the capital Beirut, over 250 buildings (mainly but not exclusively hosting Hezbollah offices, warehouses and officers’ homes) were flattened by Israeli […]Read More From 2006 to 2019: after failures in Syria, Iraq, Palestine and Yemen, war is no longer an option for Israel
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US officially asked Europe, in particular the UK, France, Germany and Italy, to provide a naval force to patrol and protect ships sailing in the Straits of Hormuz, even if the command and control is handled by the Europeans and not the US. Washington wants to drag the old continent into […]Read More Why did the UK commander of HM Montrose refrain from firing on the IRGC? Who in Iran gave orders to capture the “Stena Impero”?