Al-Golani’s defiance of Turkey leads to Syrian government control of Khan Sheikhoun

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai During the first week of this month of August, the ex-ISIS commander and current head of Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham (formerly known as Jabhat al-Nusra) Abu Mohammad al-Golani held a press conference in the occupied northern city of Idlib. He declared himself unconcerned by the ceasefire established in the course of […]

L’attitude de défi d’Al-Golani à l’endroit de la Turquie permet au gouvernement syrien de s’emparer de Khan Sheikhoun

Par Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Traduction : Daniel G. Au début du mois, Abou Mohammed al-Golani, l’ex-commandant de Daech aujourd’hui à la tête de Hay’at Tahrir al-Cham (l’ancien front al-Nosra), a tenu un point de presse dans la ville occupée d’Idlib au nord de la Syrie. Il a alors déclaré que le cessez-le-feu établi après treize […]

L’atteggiamento di sfida di al-Golani nei confronti della Turchia fa sì che il governo siriano riprenda il controllo di Khan Sheikhoun.

Di Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Tradotto da: Alice Censi Nella prima settimana di questo mese l’ex comandante dell’ISIS e oggi capo di Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham ( prima denominata Jabhat al-Nusra) Abu Mohammad al-Golani, ha tenuto una conferenza stampa nella città occupata di Idlib, nel nord della Siria. In questa occasione dichiarava di non essere preoccupato per […]

Het riskante afschrikkingsbeleid van Iran: tankers uitwisselen en een nieuwe gedeeltelijke terugtrekking uit de JCPOA

Door Elijah J. Magnier Het Verenigd Koninkrijk erkende zijn eerste nederlaag tegen Iran toen het de Iraanse supertanker “Grace 1” vrijgaf. Die was, zoals de Spaanse minister van Buitenlandse Zaken Josep Borrell onthulde, begin juli op verzoek van de VSdoor 30 commando’s van de Royal Navyin beslag genomen. In reactie hierop zal Iran de onder Britse vlag varende tanker “Stena Impero”, […]

From 2006 to 2019: after failures in Syria, Iraq, Palestine and Yemen, war is no longer an option for Israel

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai During the summer war of 2006, Israel managed to destroy a large number of Hezbollah’s rocket and missile stocks. Most Hezbollah missile units were destroyed and, in the suburb of the capital Beirut, over 250 buildings (mainly but not exclusively hosting Hezbollah offices, warehouses and officers’ homes) were flattened by Israeli […]

Why did the UK commander of HM Montrose refrain from firing on the IRGC? Who in Iran gave orders to capture the “Stena Impero”?

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US officially asked Europe, in particular the UK, France, Germany and Italy, to provide a naval force to patrol and protect ships sailing in the Straits of Hormuz, even if the command and control is handled by the Europeans and not the US. Washington wants to drag the old continent into […]

Iran imposes its Rule of Engagement: “An eye for an eye”.

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iran has meticulously selected its political steps and military targets in recent months, both in the Gulf and the international arena. Its partial and gradual withdrawal – tactical yet lawful -from the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), known as the nuclear deal, is following a determined path. Its clear […]

Cheated by the JCPOA, Iran no longer trusts Europe and is heading towards full withdrawal

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai For more than 14 months now, Europe has offered no solution to ease the crippling US sanctions on Iran, giving the “Islamic Republic” no valid reason to hold on the JCPOA nuclear deal. The Leader of the Revolution Sayyed Ali Khamenei advised Iranian officials to trust neither the US nor Europe. […]

Trump imagines a quick US war with no Plan B, but overlooks Iran’s possible Plan B

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In another of his characteristic messages via Twitter, US President Donald Trump declared his army’s capacity to use “obliteration” fire power against Iran if necessary and in case of war between the two countries. Further, Trump’s claimed that such a war won’t last “very long”. Both statements suggest that the […]

L’Iran prévient qu’en cas de guerre, les pays arabes seront ciblés : Les USA agissent « comme le lion dans un conte persan »

Par Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Traduction : Daniel G. L’Iran a convoqué le chargé d’affaires des Émirats arabes unis à Téhéran afin de condamner la permission donnée par les Émirats aux USA d’utiliser la base d’Al-Dhafra pour lancer leur drone espion Global Hawk (un joujou valant environ 130 millions de dollars) abattu le 20 juin par le système de missiles antiaériens […]

L’Iran ha avvisato i paesi arabi che, in caso di guerra, potrebbero essere attaccati : “ gli Stati Uniti come il leone in una storia persiana”

Di Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Tradotto da: Alice Censi L’Iran ha convocato l’incaricato d’affari degli Emirati Arabi Uniti a Teheran per protestare contro il permesso dato agli Stati Uniti di usare la base aerea di Al-Dhafra per lanciare il drone da ricognizione Global Hawk ( del valore di 130 milioni di dollari). Il drone è […]

How Iran decided to down a US drone and narrowly averted War by sparing another US plane

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iran averted all-out war in the Middle East at the last moment when the Central command and control operational room of its Army and the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) ordered not to shoot down a US Navy anti-submarine warfare, Intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance Poseidon P-8 . Unusually, there were […]

L’Iran et Trump au bord du précipice

Par Elijah J. Magnier Traduction : Daniel G. L’Iran pousse le président des USA Donald Trump au bord du précipice en faisant monter le niveau de tension à de nouveaux sommets au Moyen-Orient. Après le sabotage de quatre pétroliers à al-Fujairah et la frappe contre l’oléoduc d’Aramco le mois dernier, puis l’attaque contre deux pétroliers dans […]

The Gulf is facing a small-scale War Scenario: no obvious solution

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The attacks taking place in the Gulf and its waters against harbours, energy supply pipelines and oil tankers have assumed the proportions of a small scale war; however a wider war will happen only if Iran or the USA make future mistakes or incite new frictions. A suspicious move or misinterpretation of events […]

Trump offered to suspend sanctions while negotiating with Iran, Khamenei rejected the offer: more attacks expected

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Japanese Prime Minister Abe Shinzo conveyed a message from US President Donald Trump to the Iranian leadership, asking the release of 5 US prisoners and inviting Iran to sit around a negotiation table, adding “he [Donald Trump] would be ready to suspend all sanctions only during the negotiations”. No guarantee was offered to […]

How Yesterday resembles Today: Iran confronted the US in the Straits of Hormuz in the 1980s

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “We are going to intercept and stop all oil exports from the (Middle East) region if we are prevented from exporting our oil. We shall take every measure possible to close the Straits of Hormuz. If the US aims – by sending jets, carriers – to reinforce its positions and […]

Netanyahu took Trump to new heights of global tension and dropped him

By Elijah J. Magnier: Israel prime minister Benyamin Netanyahu claimed he personally convinced the US president Donald Trump to abandon the Iran nuclear deal, known as the JCPOA agreement, and wished Iran to “disappear with the help of God”. Israel is much more experienced in dealing with the Middle East than the current US president and […]

After a fruitless first round against Iran, the US has nothing to negotiate

By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai When US president Donald Trump says he doesn’t want war with Iran, he expresses a position similar to that of Iranian Leader of the Revolution Sayyed Ali Khamenei, who has announced that Iran doesn’t “want to go to war nor to talk” with the US. That brings the bras-de fer between the […]

Dopo un primo round senza risultati contro l’Iran, gli Stati Uniti non hanno nulla da negoziare.

Di Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Tradotto da: Alice Censi Quando il presidente degli Stati Uniti Donald Trump dice che lui non vuole una guerra con l’Iran, esprime una posizione simile a quella della Guida Suprema del paese, Sayyed Ali Khamenei, il quale ha annunciato che l’Iran “non vuole andare in guerra ma neppure discutere con […]

What would be the role of Iraq in a US-Iran war scenario?

Najaf (Iraq) By Elijah J. Magnier: It is not possible to give a clear-cut answer to the question of what role of Iraq would play in a US-Iran war scenario. The answer depends on the level of threat Iran will face, and how belligerent the US will be. There are two key factors to take […]

Nessuna guerra in tempi brevi tra Iran e Stati Uniti : Trump ignora come si conducono le trattative con l’Iran

Di Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Tradotto da: Alice Censi Una guerra tra Stati Uniti e Iran nei prossimi due mesi appare poco probabile malgrado la campagna portata avanti dai mezzi di informazione, le sanzioni unilaterali americane e il potenziamento delle forze militari statunitensi in Medio Oriente. Le sanzioni imposte dagli Stati Uniti all’Iran risalgono al […]

Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps on full alert sending a clear warning to Gulf countries

By Elijah J. Magnier: Iran has deployed its ballistic and cruise missiles, some in positions visible to US satellites and drones. They are ready for any confrontation with the US military apparatus, in case the US administration decides on war. Iran is responding to President Donald Trump’s belligerent declaration that he is gathering more naval […]

En état d’alerte, le Corps des gardiens de la révolution iranienne envoie un avertissement clair aux pays du Golfe

Par Elijah J. Magnier Traduction : Daniel G. L’Iran a déployé ses missiles balistiques et de croisière, dont certains sont détectables par les satellites et les drones américains, qui sont en position d’affronter la puissance de feu des USA si jamais l’administration américaine se lançait dans une guerre contre Téhéran. L’Iran répond ainsi à l’acte de […]

The recovery of Idlib under the Syrian government: still too early to achieve? 2/2

By Elijah J. Magnier: Throughout the war with Syria, Turkey has taken an active part in destabilising the country. Erdogan has facilitated the flow of thousands of foreigners who later formed ISIS foreign fighters’ units. He has also facilitated logistic support to the terror group, the transport of stolen oil and resupplying the terror group. […]

Il ritorno di Idlib al governo siriano: ancora troppo presto perché avvenga? (2/2)

Di Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Tradotto da: Alice Censi Durante tutta la guerra in Siria, la Turchia ha avuto un ruolo attivo nella destabilizzazione del paese. Erdogan ha reso possibile l’ afflusso di migliaia di stranieri che in seguito avrebbero poi formato le unità combattenti straniere dell’ISIS. Il presidente turco ha agevolato il sostegno logistico, […]