Hezbollah established a full institutional apparatus also in Syria
Key words: Israel, Hezbollah, Syria, Russia, Moscow.
Damascus by Elijah J. Magnier – @EjmAlrai
Since the beginning of the war in Syria in 2011, Israeli jets have bombed a dozen Hezbollah weapons warehouses in Syria behind with only the destruction of weapons and zero human casualties.
According to well-informed sources in Syria, Russia has made it clear to Hezbollah that it has its own objectives, which are unrelated to the Israeli-Hezbollah struggle. Israeli jets coordinate with Russia any air presence over the Syrian territory and it is the right of the F-16s to hit any Hezbollah target related to this struggle, when dealing with weapon transfer or warehouses related to supporting Hezbollah in Lebanon and not related to Hezbollah supplies in Syria.
Israel also agreed with Russia that Moscow would not tolerate any attack against Hezbollah forces fighting terrorists, Jihadists and their allies in Syria. No fighting forces working along with Russia will be targeted by Israel under any circumstances.
Asked if information is leaked to Israel, the source believes it is not impossible to “air monitor” the arrival of a plane or a ship with weapons, the off-loading process and the storage. Israel hit a target following a long process of verification and monitoring. What is worth noting is the fact that Israel hits these targets when there are no personnel in these warehouses, seemingly willing to avoid human losses and retaliation.
According to sources, Israel is not limiting overall Hezbollah military capabilities but hitting at the specific part of its strategic weapon storage aimed at acquiring long-term military capability. Every six months or every year, there are new weapon technologies available. For example: a missile with limited precision delivered years ago is available today with 1-3 metres accuracy. Or perhaps a missile trajectory is altered to modify its travelling inconsistently to avoid interception. All these and more are provided on a regular basis as part of Hezbollah’s capability updates.
These are part of a long preparation of war between Hezbollah and Israel and not part of the next war. Hezbollah leader Sayed Hasan Nasrallah, according to sources, already gave the answer: we have all that we need for the next war, expected to last between 3 to 12 months. However, Hezbollah didn’t reach its self-sufficiency with fabrication of all the missiles it needs. Local production is limited to few inaccurate missile calibres but does not include long-range strategic missiles.
In relation to the possible forthcoming war with Israel, Hezbollah is prepared for the next war, only if imposed by Israel, and has taken all necessary measures to move missile launches away from inhabited civilian locations so as to avoid unnecessary destruction.
The Syrian war allowed the presence of Hezbollah units along the eastern mountains, on the Lebanese-Syrian borders. These offer a natural shelter for hiding and launching missiles. Moreover, the city of Qusseyr and the areas of Zabadani and Qalamoun are part of Hezbollah’s operational stage for any possible war with Israel. Hezbollah has created a new branch in Syria, moving all departments to that country where tens of thousand militants are operating on a daily basis on multiple fronts.