By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Many analysts believe a US-Israeli war on Iran and Lebanon is likely despite the lack of evidence of preparations for such a war. Although forces could be quickly mobilised after a political decision to go to war, all indications point to a non-military war situation for the simple reason that […]Read More Are the US and Israel preparing for war in the Middle East? (1/2 Iran)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Despite the positive approach by Iran Foreign Minister Jawad Zarif proposing a humanitarian exchange of prisoners between Washington and Tehran (in an attempt to break the stalemate and ease the current tension), Iranian Speaker Ali Larijani and ‘Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps – Quds Brigade’ (IRGC) commander Qassem Soleimani both rejected any […]Read More Iran rejects all negotiations but signals domestic differences: its confidence remains intact in the face of severe sanctions.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In recent years, Israel has proved capable of reading between the lines to assess accurately the politico-military situation in the Middle East, exploiting timely opportunities to hit targets of its enemies in Syria and Iraq. Domestic, regional and unlimited US support for far-right Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu permitted his military […]Read More Clouds gather above the Middle East: war or no war 2/2?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah held a private meeting this week with his top military commanders in which he warned them to prepare for a hot Summer because Israel plans to launch a surprise war against Lebanon. Sayyed Nasrallah has asked his men to share the reality of the situation […]Read More Hezbollah Leader: “the possibility of a war with Israel is very high this summer and I may no longer be with you”.
By Dominique Muselet: Notre-Dame, “the whole history of Paris” as said the bobo Hidalgo*, all happy to be at the center of a catastrophe of which she does not think herself responsible (although she is), has resisted more than 800 years of attacks of all kinds, but neo-capitalism had it … with its cheap yards, […]Read More What does the fire of Notre-Dame means ?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Israel is not preparing a military adventure against Gaza, Syria, Hezbollah or Iran because it is in fact already attaining its objectives both internationally and domestically. Its military apparatus regularly hits targets in Syria with a calculated risk of retaliation from Damascus and its allies. Israel willingly risks a Syrian […]Read More The “Deal of the Century” (3/3): The Palestinian cause is behind Iran and Hezbollah’s success
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Israel is using its influence over the US establishment to try to impose the “Deal of the Century” to enable Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to officially occupy the West Bank. This would violate the Oslo agreement signed in 1993 and legalise all illegal Israeli settlements in Oslo-designated zone C of […]Read More The “Deal of the Century” (2): The US wants Iran to forget about Palestine and accept negotiations
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai For over a year now, the Israeli “Deal of the Century” for Palestine has been endorsed by the US establishment and is now echoing to the four corners of the world. The two novices in foreign policy, US President Donald Trump and his son-in-law Jared Kushner, manoeuvred by Israel from […]Read More The “Deal of the Century” won’t go through: Split among Palestinians supports Israel 1/3
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai When Trump designated the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) a terrorist organisation, Iran hit back hours later by labellingthe US Central Command ‘CENTCOM’ a supporter of terrorism. Now two governmental military entities have been designed terrorist supporters, putting the US and Iranian forces at the level of al-Qaeda and the ‘Islamic State’ […]Read More Iran allies in the Middle East: the trigger finger is ready in case of US-Israeli war
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Emirati newspaper, “The National” – quoting sources with knowledgeof US plans – reports that the United States is considering sanctions against the Shia Lebanese Speaker Nabih Berri, along with a number of his financial supporters. Well-informed sources knowledgeable of the Speaker’s intentions said that “such a step – if it is serious […]Read More After threatening Speaker Nabih Berri, will the US be asked to leave Lebanon permanently?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Syrian state will not be in a position to liberate the occupied Golan for decades to come. US President Donald Trump made a giftof the territory to Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu last month. The move was Trump’s support for Netanyahu’s domestic election campaign; Netanyahu is facing severe accusationsof bribery and corruption. No […]Read More Syria will not liberate the occupied Golan for decades to come
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Lebanese Judge Ahmad Mezherhas given orders that a survey be conducted of Lebanese occupied territories in the Shebaa Farms, Kfarshouba, Huneen, Ideise and Bleeda. These villages are bordering Hasbaiya, Rashaya al-Fukhar and Kiyam and have been under Israeli occupation since 1981, as Syria’s Golan Heights have been since 1967. This step […]Read More Lebanon decides to confront Israel and the US in Shebaa, Kfarshouba and Syria
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalra US President Donald Trump has announced that it is time to recognise the occupied Syrian Golan Heights as part of Israel. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who is under attack at home, subject to prosecution for corruption and bribery, has welcomed the gift from Trump. The timing is perfect for Netanyahu, […]Read More The occupied Golan Heights is offered to Israel and yet the indignation is verbal, nothing more
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “A dinosaur with a bird’s brain”. This is how the ex-President of Iran Hashemi Rafsanjani described the United States of America, evoking its great military strength but lack of strategic intelligence in foreign policy. Indeed, the very unusual meeting of the chiefs of staff of Syria, Iraq and Iran in […]Read More US policy failure reopens Iraqi-Syrian borders and the Iran-Beirut road
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Lebanon is preparing to receive US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo with no domestic enthusiasm. It is foreseen that the visit will bring no positive outcome to the country. This conclusion has been reached by many Lebanese officials following previous visits by Assistant Secretary of State David Hill, and after […]Read More Lebanon must turn to Europe as mediator for its maritime claims dispute with Israel
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Lebanon is expecting the visit of US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo this week at a time when the Lebanese economic-political map is being redrawn and while Lebanon is suffering its most serious economic downturnin recent history. Reasons for the deterioration of the local economy include not only the corruption of […]Read More The US is pushing Lebanon into the arms of Iran and Russia: US sanctions affect the local economy
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Iranian President Hassan Rouhani is visiting Iraq for three days, leading a large political and business delegation to deepen the relationship between the two countries. Rouhani met with the Iraqi President, Prime Minister, and Speaker of Parliament. The Iranian President visited Karbalaa this afternoon, is spending the night in Najaf […]Read More Iran upstages the US in Iraq
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Syria and its allies are preparing their missiles for a forthcoming battle with Israel if Tel Aviv decides to open fire against significant military positions under the control of the Syrian army. Well informed sources say that “it all depends on the direction the Israeli elections will take. If Prime […]Read More Syria preparing its missiles for the next battle with Israel
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The UK government has added the political and military branches of Lebanese Hezbollah to its terrorist list following a decision initiated by Home Secretary Sajid Javid and approved by Parliament. Hezbollah, or the “Party of God” is now one of the 74 foreign groups and 14 other groups related to Northern Ireland […]Read More Is the UK prepared to add Iran to its list of terrorists? Tightening the noose around the neck of the community that supports Hezbollah
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai It is quite normal that the Iranian Foreign Minister Jawad Zarif is not the only decision maker on foreign policy because the Islamic Republic is in a constant war-like situation with surrounding Middle Eastern countries and the west. Saudi Crown Prince Mohammad Bin Salman’s decisionto move the battle to Iran and […]Read More Zarif returns to politics and Soleimani to his maps
Iraq: The Shiistan, Sunnistan and Kurdistan projects are not over yet By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In 2003, when the US declared its occupation of Iraq, journalists used to reach the country embedded with the occupation forces through their air transport or via Kuwait. I did not have this luxury. I took a taxi from […]Read More Reshaping the Middle East: why the West should stop its Interventions (3)
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai It was the eleventhand the most important meeting between the Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu. The Israeli visitor heard clearly from his host that Moscow has no leverage to ask Iran to leave or to stop the flow of weapons to Damascus and that Iran […]Read More Can Netanyahu risk a “battle of missiles” with Syria?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai President Donald Trump will not be able to declare victory over ISIS in the next days because there are still between 1000 to 1500 militants and Emirs in Baghuz, a city bordering the Euphrates river. It is obvious these militants are not ready to surrender but most likely will fight […]Read More Is Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi hiding in Baghuz? Where does ISIS go now?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Washington declared it won’t fully withdraw its troops from Syria but will leave “400 peace keeping forces”, making these soldiers an official occupation force since the last ISIS stronghold is about to be freed. This new situation leaves the US and European allies without any cloak of legality, since the pretext of […]Read More US forces will stay in Syria: Negotiations with the Kurds will be complicated, as Syria prepares for an Idlib offensive
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai On Twitter, the US president’s preferred forum to reveal foreign policy and state decisions, Donald Trump asked “Britain, France, Germany and other European allies to take back over 800 ISIS captured in Syria” from 44 countries. Otherwise, Trump will “release them” without specifying where and in which country. The US President […]Read More Europe pays the price of a US decision: where will European ISIS go?