Beirut, Lebanon, By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Intelligence sources said “Israel wants Syria to return to the era before 2011 when the leaders of the country were less powerful and experienced than they are today after seven years of warfare, the delivery of Russian advanced equipment mostly for air defence, the supply and manufacturer of […]Read More Israel has been weakened by the war on Syria: only 5% of the Iranian and Hezbollah arsenal has been destroyed in Syria
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Secret negotiations are ongoing in Moscow and Damascus between representatives of the Syrian Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK) and Russian officials concerning the fate of Kurdish militants in Syria. The Kurdish delegation is hoping that Russia – and not the US – will adopt the role of guarantor of their safety and […]Read More Russian-Kurdish negotiations in Moscow: Turkey has defined its options and Washington is trying to gain time
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Al-Nusra front – al-Qaeda rebranded as HTS (Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham) – is expanding its influence and military control over entire Syrian cities and villages in northern and western rural Aleppo. Abu Mohammad al-Joulani, the ex- ISIS (the Islamic State terror group) Emir of Syria and the self proclaimed Emir […]Read More Trump retreats from his promise of withdrawal while al-Qaeda makes progress in Syria
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai In response to domestic pressure, Trump agreed to extend the deadline for withdrawal of thousands of US troops from the northeaster Syrian province of al-Hasaka from the initial 30 days previously announced until April this year. Journalistic warmongers and hawks in think-tanks and among the US establishment have been railing at […]Read More Trump bows to domestic pressure by delaying his withdrawal from Syria; a storm is gathering in the Levant
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US presidential plane landed in the darkness of the Iraqi military base of Ayn al-Assad in west Anbar with Donald Trump onboard. But by the time his plane took off three hours later, Trump left behind a protocol-political-parliamentary storm in Mesopotamia as Iraqi members of parliament requested the departure […]Read More The Syrian army enters Manbij as Trump follows through on withdrawal: Iraq is next
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US executive order of withdrawal from Syria has been signed off on, indicating that President Trump is determined to recall the few thousands US troops in Syria back home. It is well known that regular troops are much more vulnerable during withdrawal operations than in combat or deployment positions. Accordingly, […]Read More Trump is leaving behind a trap for Russia, Turkey and Iran in Syria
Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Following President Trump’s decision to withdraw US forces from occupied northeast Syria, the Kurds of al-Hasaka have for the last two days been negotiating with the government of Damascus on how to spare the province from a possible Turkish invasion. Syrian General Ali Mamlouk, the Syrian president’s special security advisor, says […]Read More Erdogan does not object to Damascus’s control over al-Hasaka: the Kurds choose between loyalty to Syria or defeat by Turkey
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Sudanese President Omar el-Bashir made a historical visit to Syria, the first for an Arab leader since war was imposed on Syria in 2011. El-Bashir landed onboard a Russian airplane at Damascus airport, an indication of Moscow’s efforts to bring Syria back into the Arab – and international – fold. […]Read More Burying the axe of war: the Arabs will recognise Assad, and Arab investment will help rebuild Syria
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Syria will adopt a new rule of engagement with Israel now that Russia has taken a tougher and clearer stance on the conflict between Israel and the “Axis of the Resistance”. Henceforth, Damascus will be responding to any Israeli strike. If it damages a specific military target it will reply with […]Read More New Rules of engagement between Syria and Israel, as Russia changes its position
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Israel just announced the beginning of “Operation Northern Shield” to “destroy Hezbollah cross-border tunnels that pose an imminent threat to the safety of Israel”. Israel sent its Special Forces to protect its army engaged in searching for tunnels in case of a military reaction from Hezbollah. On the other […]Read More Hezbollah and Israel on full alert on the borders: a popcorn operation!
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai US sanctions on Hezbollah and its allies have limited effect; thus, the US is meddling in internal Lebanese politics, hoping to disrupt Hezbollah’s alliance with the Christians of Lebanon. Hezbollah considers the US administration’s sanctions on the group to be an ineffective power play. Hezbollah and its commanders don’t […]Read More The US has Hezbollah’s allies in its sights, and the “Free Patriotic Movement” is no longer holding the balance.
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Who was it that helped the Iranian General, head of the al-Quds brigade, Qassem Soleimani, to expand his influence and the circle of his allies in the Middle East? How did his name become so well-known and his reputation blown up out of all proportion? Behind Soleimani’s success we […]Read More Who boosted Qassem Soleimani’s image and spread Iran’s influence throughout the Middle East?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The policy of the US establishment towards Lebanon is evidently changing and unstable, with a President who lacks general knowledge about the Middle East and above all of Hezbollah’s role in the region. It seems President Donald Trump is willing to reduce military support to the Lebanese Army and to […]Read More Hezbollah in Lebanon: US hegemony is over
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai All wars initiated or supported by the US establishment – from the occupation of Iraq in 2003, the second Israeli war on Lebanon in 2006, the regime-change in Syria in 2011 and the occupation of a third of Iraq in 2014 – have failed in their goal of stoking […]Read More After Lebanon 2006, Syria 2011 and Iraq 2014, the “Arab NATO” and a Sunni-Shia war to revive
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Today the harshest and highest level economic and energy sanctions that can be imposed on any country are being imposed unilaterally on Iran. The US establishment will try its best to bring the Islamic Republic to its knees and Tehran will do its best to cross the US minefield. Whatever […]Read More The Global US Squeeze on Iran has started: Europe is looking for alternatives
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The October 15 deadline agreed to by Turkey, Russia and Iran for Turkey to evacuate all heavy weapons and jihadist groups along a 15-20 km demilitarised demarcation line around Idlib and its rural area, including rural Latakia, has come and gone. Nevertheless, despite serious Turkish pressure on jihadists to leave Syria […]Read More Saudi stops funding terror in Syria as the Arab League prepares to resume ties with Damascus: the time is not yet ripe for retaking Idlib
Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Secret talks between the UN and Hezbollah, threats by the US establishment against Iraqi leaders and Hezbollah, exchanges of messages between Iranian General Qassem Soleimani and the US representative, and a constant tug of war… All this and more has been registered – according to sources close to Soleimani – during […]Read More Forming an Iraqi Government: Secret Talks Between the UN and Hezbollah, an Exchange of Messages in Mesopotamia, and More
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Israeli Air Force is conducting intensive manoeuvres with its F-35 Adirs along with F-16s over Lebanese airspace to counter the threat posed by the three battalion sets of S-300PM missiles systems delivered by Moscow to Damascus so that Tel Aviv can resume its bombing of targets in Syria. Despite the […]Read More Israel trains to counter the S-300 and Russia expands towards Lebanon
Beirut from Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Published by: Israel, through its Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, is waving the flag of war in the face of Iran and Hezbollah, showing what is claimed to be a “secret nuclear facility in Iran and Hezbollah’s strategic missile warehouse in the heart of the capital Beirut”. The “secret nuclear […]Read More Iran and Hezbollah are ready to face any challenge: but are Israel and the US ready?
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Iraqi politicians have agreed on a new prime minister, Adel Abdel Mahdi, to replace Haidar al-Abadi, after over four months of difficult work. Adel Abdel Mahdi is an experienced politician who almost became prime minister in the 2000s when Moqtada al-Sadr suddenly turned against him and, overnight, promoted Nuri al-Maliki […]Read More Iraq will have a President and Prime Minister who takes account of both Iranian and US interests
By Elijah J. Magnier – @ejmalrai Russia has decided to send to Syria its S-300 VM system and has started delivering the Krasukha 4 radar systems jammer and other related military equipment. These installations indicate the low level of relations between Moscow and Tel Aviv. Israel’s capacity to destroy the new Russian system in Syria is […]Read More Iran looks on as Israeli arrogance forces Putin’s hand
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Much scepticism surrounds the fate of the city of Idlib following the deal concluded between the two presidents, Vladimir Putin and Recep Tayyip Erdogan, that led to the suspension of the long-awaited military operation against the jihadists and their allies. Only a few details of the deal have been revealed, enough […]Read More Putin-Erdogan have concluded a good deal on Idlib
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Syrian defence system shot down by mistake a Russian Ilyushin IL-20M 90924 surveillance plane in Syria with 15 servicemen on board on Monday evening, the day after an Israeli F-16 destroyed an Iranian military cargo plane on the Damascus airport runway killing the second pilot. Simultaneously with the downing of […]Read More Russia, USA, Israel, Iran and Syria: a continuous struggle to trigger or avoid war
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Turkey is pushing further reinforcements of troops, commando units and tanks into the northern Syrian city of Idlib and around it, for a specific objective: to disrupt the attack against the city by the Syrian forces and their allies supported by Russia. Ankara is indeed taking advantage of the Russian slowing […]Read More The Liberation of Idlib: Turkey is in the way, with Russia slowing down
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US favourite candidate for the prime ministership Haidar Abadi lost his last chance to renew his mandate for a second term when riots caused arson around the southern city of Basra and burned down the walls of the Iranian consulate in the city. While the inhabitants demonstrated for their justified […]Read More Haidar Abadi has fallen with the burned walls of the Iranian consulate in Basra