Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Elected Prime Minister Mohammad Allawi has fallen due to the lack of a parliamentary quorum. The selection of his new cabinet, his mismanagement in dealing with various political parties, and his condescending attitude particularly towards Sunnis and Kurds brought him the support of only 108 MPs in Parliament last Sunday. He […]Read More Mohammad Allawi has fallen and the prospects for a new PM in Iraq are not good
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai A significant development took place in Syria on Friday. A Russian attack on a Turkish convoy in Idlib in north-west Syria killed 36 Turkish soldiers and officers. In retaliation, Turkey launched an unprecedented armed drone attack that lasted several hours and resulted in the killing and wounding of over 150 Syrian […]Read More Erdogan: Idlib is mine
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and Russia believe the war on terror has priority over and above any Israeli provocations. Syria and Russia are of necessity avoiding a ‘battle between wars’, a term used by Israel to sneak in and hit-and-run an enemy target not sufficiently important to trigger an all-out […]Read More Israel bombs Syria: how long can this go on?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Notwithstanding the increase in power of the “Axis of the Resistance”, with its precision missiles and unrivalled accumulated warfare experience, the possibility of war is still on the table. The “Axis of the Resistance” is increasing its readiness based on the possibility that Israel may not tolerate the presence of such […]Read More The war scenario between Israel and Hezbollah
By Elijah J. Magnier:@ejmalrai Many Iranians question the benefits of arming and financing Iran’s many allies in the Middle East while Iran is suffering the harshest ever US “maximum pressure”. Iran’s allies are spread over Afghanistan, Yemen, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon and Palestine. Is Iranian support for these allies the main cause of the US’s aggressive […]Read More Is Iran ill-advised to finance its regional allies while under sanctions?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai More than forty days ago a US drone assassinated Major General Qassem Soleimani, leader of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) – Quds Brigade and leader of the “Axis of the Resistance”. He was killed after midnight at Baghdad airport between the second and the third of January along with his […]Read More Is the “Axis of Resistance” in a better or worse position? The Martyr Qassem Soleimani achieves even more than the Major General did
Aleppo, Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Since 2012 the M5 Damascus-Aleppo had been under the control of jihadist forces. The Syrian Army has now liberated the M5 Damascus-Aleppo road and over 140 cities, villages and strategic hills. Turkey and the Uzbeks, Uighurs and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (formerly al-Nusra) failed to protect their fortified positions, abandoning them […]Read More Syria imposes the Astana deal by force, as Turkish-Russian tensions rise
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai On the third of January, after midnight, news about the assassination of Iranian Major General Qassem Soleimani, Brigadier General Hussein pour Jaafari, Colonel Shahroud Muzaffari Nia, Major Hadi Tameri and Captain Wahid Zamaniam reached the Iranian Embassy in Baghdad. Officers at the embassy were in contact with the convoy, and […]Read More How Iran decided to bomb US bases and how Trump avoided an all-out war
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iraq and the Iraqis have spoken: Iraqi Major General Jafar al-Battat, head of Baghdad area security, estimated at “more than one million” the number of protestors who filled up the Karradah and Jadriyeh in Baghdad. Protestors called for the total withdrawal of the US-led foreign forces from the country. They mobilised in response […]Read More The USA was the kingmaker in Iraq, but now its withdrawal is inevitable
By Elijah J. Magnier:@ejmalrai Iraq is preparing for demonstrations by a million protestors, called for by Iraqi Shia leader Sayyed Moqtada al-Sadr, as a show of solidarity among Iraqis insisting on the immediate withdrawal of the US-led coalition and all foreign forces stationed in the country. Preparations are set for civilians, families, militants and armed […]Read More Iran is ready to attack again: Will the US forces withdraw from Iraq?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The Iraqi Parliament has decided to ask for the immediate withdrawal of all foreign forces from the country for violating the terms of their presence. The US has broken its contractual obligations to the government of Baghdad and affronted the sovereignty of Iraq, jeopardising its stability. Sources at the Prime […]Read More Immediate US withdrawal due to its violation of the agreement and Iraq sovereignty
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US President Donald Trump assassinated the commander of the “Axis of the Resistance”, the (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) IRGC – Quds Brigade Major General Qassem Soleimani at Baghdad airport with little consideration of the consequences of this targeted killing. It is not to be excluded that the US administration […]Read More How are Iran and the “Axis of the Resistance” affected by the US assassination of Soleimani?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Well-informed and established sources at Iraqi Prime minister Adel Abdel Mahdi’s office in Baghdad believe “the US is unwilling to listen to reason, to the Iraqi government or the parliament. It has the intention of bringing war upon itself and transforming Iraq into a battlefield, by refusing to respect the […]Read More Iraq is the Next battleground.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Just after midnight local time today, Iranian ballistic missiles “Fateh 313” hit two military bases in Iraq that host a significant concentration of US forces, along with other allies. The Iranian direct hit was the retaliation for the US assassination of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps-Quds brigade Sardar Qassem Soleimani […]Read More Iranian messages behind attacking US bases in Iraq, and the consequences
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai It was not the US decision to fire missiles against the IRGC commander Brigadier General Qassem Soleimani that killed the Iranian officer and his companions in Baghdad. Yes, of course, the order that was given to launch missiles from the two drones (which destroyed the two cars carrying Sardar Soleimani […]Read More Fragmentation in the Axis of Resistance led to Soleimani’s death
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The US did not plan to kill the vice commander of the Iraqi Hashd al-Shaabi brigade Abu Mahdi al-Muhandes when it assassinated Iranian Brigadier General Qassem Soleimani on Thursday at 11:00 PM local time at Baghdad airport. Usually, when Soleimani was arriving in Baghdad, security commander Abu Zeinab al-Lami, […]Read More What comes next after the US Assassination of Qassem Soleimani? The Options.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The United States of America has fallen into the trap of its own disinformation policy, as exemplified by the work of one of its leading strategic study centres, a neocon think tank promoting war on Iran. During the first weeks of protests in Iraq, a dozen Iraqis burned down the Iranian […]Read More How the US was hoist by its own petard in Iraq and the wishful thinking of its thinktanks.
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The “maritime security belt” trilateral four-day drill between Iran, China and Russia in the sea of Oman and the Indian Ocean will mark the Middle East for decades to come. It signals the end of US absolute hegemony and control of the Middle East- and of the world. The joint drills are being carried […]Read More China-Iran -Russia alliance ending US unilateral global hegemony
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai Iraqi President Barham Salih has shown that he is in control of the country and has made a show of his contempt for the Iraqi constitution. In a dramatic gesture, Salih made a play for public support by declaring his willingness to resign. He then departed for Suleimaniya, after rejecting the […]Read More President of Iraq: The decision is mine
By Elijah J. Magnier:@ejmalrai Iraq is at a critical crossroads due to a serious conflict between the Shia parliamentary coalition and Kurdish President Barham Salih. The crisis could dissipate this Sunday when President Saleh announces the name of the new Prime Minister, presented by the largest coalition – al Bina’ – last Thursday in an […]Read More Iraq at the Crossroads: either Prime Minister al-Suheil or President Salih have to resign
Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “I discussed with Secretary Pompeo three main topics: Iran, Iran and Iran”, said PM Benyamin Netanyahu in Lisbon last week. “We stand with the people of Lebanon to fight against corruption and terrorism. Today we designated two prominent Lebanese businessmen whose illicit financial activity supports Hizballah. We will continue to use all the tools […]Read More Is Lebanon on the verge of chaos? Is chaos useful for the West and Israel?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai “There is no alternative to war. One day it will be war on a large scale”. This is what one of the decision-makers within the “Axis of the Resistance” has said with confidence. However, the timing may not be as close as repeatedly advertised by Israeli Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu, despite […]Read More Does Israel believe a war with the Axis of the Resistance will be just a walkover?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai For several weeks now, much of the Lebanese population has turned on the country’s traditional political leaders and wrought havoc on the corrupt domestic political system. Those who have ruled the country for decades have offered little in the way of reforms, have paid little attention to the infrastructure, and […]Read More What have the US and protestors in Lebanon achieved over Iran and its allies?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai There is little doubt that Sayyed Moqtada al-Sadr controls the streets in Iraq and can make peaceful protests violent when he chooses. Notwithstanding the presence of several smaller players and those genuinely asking for serious reforms, Sayyed Moqtada can move the street in the direction he wants. However, the strategic objectives […]Read More Who holds the Initiative, and who has the Power to mobilise the Street in Iraq?
By Elijah J. Magnier: @ejmalrai The democratically elected Iraqi Prime Minister Adel Abdel Mahdi has fallen. 241 members of parliament voted for his resignation, in accordance with the request of the Marjaiya in Najaf, the Grand Ayatollah Sayyed Ali Sistani: Abdel Mahdi must end his term much earlier than planned in response to his mismanagement of […]Read More Why Abdel Mahdi has to go: Many mistakes by the US, Iran and the Marjaiya.